
In the short term, electric propulsion is definitely needed, in the medium to long term - I wouldn't dare to guess what will happen

Richard/Simon excellent contributions and as I posted up before, probably without a solid basis in facts and figures, my genuine enthusiasm comes down 100% on the side of a transition to electric vehicles and the sooner the better. Have to admit then that I probably like to read things which support my own gut feeling, but enjoy the debate. Those fringe benefits mentioned by Simon relating to power generation of the change could well be just as significant.Mandrake wrote:Some good points and concerns Richard, however lets see if we can talk you around with a bit more analysis and number crunching.
RichardW wrote:We don't have enough generating capacity to keep the lights on at present - there is no room for loads of electric cars.
I agree that batteries have always been the Achilles heel of electric cars, and probably what has stopped adoption until now. Electric motor technology (including the inverter/controller) suitable for high performance electric cars has been ready for at least 20 years but the battery tech hasn't. The issues being of course high weight, low energy density, and slow charging.elma wrote:So far you're making a convincing argument which I don't disagree with. The environmental problems which concern me are more to do with the batteries. I've seen how they extract and refine lithium and it's not good. I also am aware there is an environmental cost to disposing of old batteries but have no idea how recyclable or damaging they are.
I'm actually pro electric cars but have always believed that battery technology, currently, is their Achilles heel. Are you well informed on this as well Simon? It's something I'll be researching in time but haven't had a chance yet.
Heh heh...white exec wrote:Some really good arguments by Simon. Allowing millions of people to inefficiently burn unnecessarily transported liquid fuel has had its day. We now know how to do better, and will one day soon look back on all this with some disbelief!
Some things are best done 'centrally', and that certainly includes use of energy. From the 1960s, and almost all of Moscow was kept heated by piped hot water from just four "thermal stations". In the mid-70s when we visited, one of these was burning wood and general rubbish, the others fossil fuels. All probably Gazprom now, I guess! Only snag was it was decreed in the Moscow diary the day that winter would start, and this was writ in stone, so if it got cold a week early, it could be a bit grim. How cold? -32C over Christmas/New Year.
Ahh yes, the old 'District Heating' systems.. I remember those from visits to Minsk and later , Ulaan Baatar. I recall the Minsk one kept the buildings beautifully warm and that was during a visit in the dead of winter...white exec wrote:From the 1960s, and almost all of Moscow was kept heated by piped hot water from just four "thermal stations".
Interestingly, the sales gains (of EV's in November 2016) came without Tesla’s help in November, as the company was still focused on getting production back online after tooling its Fremont, CA assembly line to equip “full self-driving hardware” on all its EVs, in preparation for the day (possibly coming in 2018) when its cars would achieve full Level 5 autonomy.
Regards NeilIt is no secret Nissan is struggling with the first generation LEAF in the US as it ages into a much needed upgrade shortly. Yet despite that, the LEAF has set back-to-back 2016 highs in sales in October and November, and logged 3 consecutive months of gains.
Ah ! That's more like it. Thinking a bit further forwarddnsey wrote: A potentially more economical proposition would be the decentralisation of industry. While manufacturing has to take place on one (or a few) sites, there's no real reason for service industries to be office-based in the conventional sense. Local workplaces could be built, where employees from multiple organisations could work via comunications networks linked to their colleagues. To be really radical, commuting could be a restricted activity for essential users only, in which case manufacturing industries would need to make their local areas attractive enough to encourage workers to move there.
In that case, to answer my own question about UberGoogle cars - sooner than I thoughtmyglaren wrote:Uber have self-driving Volvo's operating in Los Angeles - just a test of 100 cars and there is a driver there just in case.
Agree with the commuting bit very strongly... As you all know, I cycle commute whenever I can and love it but I'm always staggered at the sheer numbers of commuters and their obvious hatred of it by their attitude and behaviour... Anything that can remove the need for this miserable activity is to be welcomed and encouraged.bobins wrote:Ah ! That's more like it. Thinking a bit further forwarddnsey wrote: A potentially more economical proposition would be the decentralisation of industry. While manufacturing has to take place on one (or a few) sites, there's no real reason for service industries to be office-based in the conventional sense. Local workplaces could be built, where employees from multiple organisations could work via comunications networks linked to their colleagues. To be really radical, commuting could be a restricted activity for essential users only, in which case manufacturing industries would need to make their local areas attractive enough to encourage workers to move there.![]()
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Only yesterday Amazon released the video of their first Amazon Prime Air drone delivery - and yes, it may have only been a proof of concept / press release, but just how far do we need to look into the future before we see our regular deliveries being delivered by (for want of a better term) 'robots' ? How long before the inevitable UberGoogle autonomous vehicle is rolled out - slowly and inexorably chipping away at our need for our own vehicles ? How long before the only reason to own a vehicle is purely to have a blast down the motorway (toll charged and pay per mile, of course) to 'blow the cobwebs away' ? In 20-30 years time, why own a Tesla (or any other electric car you care to name) when you don't actually need to drive to work, and you can get all the thrills you need on your total immersion VR headset ?
Unlikely ? ....Possibly.
Impossible ? .........Nope.
Progress rolls on...........